What are the odds on politics?

Betting lines reflect the probability of an event, based on the research of the bookmaker and the bets that have been placed. These probabilities have been shown to be more accurate than polls in some cases.

Below mentioned percentages reflect the probability of an event to occur, based on the lines on Betfair Exchange, the world's largest bet exchange website and PredictIt.

Trump not to finish his 1^st term

11.21%

A bookie offering a bet with this implied chance returns $892 for each $100 you bet.

You expect something different? Check our recommended bookies or go straight to MyBookie!

Last update: September 29 2020, 11:11 pm CEST

Even months and years after his election, Trump's presidency is riddled with scandals and challenges from the outside. People from the US and worldwide have been betting if he finishes his first term, considering the chance that he gets removed from office or they see the possiblity of a resignation for political or medical reasons. Naturally, the odds change the further the term progresses, but they've always been substantially far from zero.

Trump to be re-elected President

43.15%

A bookie offering a bet with this implied chance returns $232 for each $100 you bet.

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Last update: September 30 2020, 12:17 am CEST

Historically, the incumbent President of the United States had an edge when heading into the campaign trail for re-election. The odds for the 2020 elections might not look as good for Trump, considering the consistently low approval ratings and hints from polls. This makes it an attractive betting market - for either side of the aisle.

Joe Biden to win the presidential election

58.65%

A bookie offering a bet with this implied chance returns $171 for each $100 you bet.

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Last update: September 30 2020, 12:17 am CEST

If you're wondering why this doesn't add up precisely with Trump's re-election odds: There's always the chance that a third party surges, or that Trump is not the Repulican nominee, especially considering that he might be removed from office.

The percentage values derive from recent odds on Betfair bet exchange and PredictIt. For betting from the US, we recommend different bookies that might have different odds.